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UN would face major obstacles if Syria's Assad falls from power

Washington, Sun, 29 Jul 2012 ANI

Washington, July 29 (ANI): The United Nations is likely to face major obstacles in Syria, including a bitter division among world powers and the absence of an opposition leader, if President Bashar-el- Assad falls from power, senior officials have said.

For the UN, which deals with the governments of its 193 member states, the immediate question if Assad fell would be who, or what political group, replaces him, reports Fox News.

Andrew Tabler, a senior fellow and Syria expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, said even if Assad departs, he doesn't think protesters will leave the streets and the Free Syrian Army will stop fighting because they want the entire regime to go.

"So what would happen is you're likely to have a contraction of the regime, controlling some parts of Syrian territory, and the opposition controlling parts-like the Balkans," he said.

In the Balkans in the 1990s, the U.N. established safe havens, but Tabler said they couldn't defend themselves, so that option would likely not work.

In the case of Syria, there is a divided opposition outside the country and disparate groups of young fighters inside the country, some aligned to the Free Syrian Army.

If Assad left, the Security Council could authorize a U.N. peacekeeping force to go into Syria, which would normally take several months to deploy in the field.

A team of senior U.N. officials led by Deputy Secretary-General Jan Eliasson is consulting on the Syrian crisis and studying contingencies, and one possible model might be Afghanistan.

Participants adopted an accord on Dec. 5, 2001, spelling out arrangements for an interim government. The U.N. Security Council swiftly endorsed the power-sharing agreement, and on Dec. 20, 2001, it unanimously authorised a multinational force to assist the new government with security, said Fox News. (ANI)


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