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New political equation on the corner

New Delhi, Sat, 28 Jun 2008 NI Wire

Keeping the present political crisis at the centre due to various reasons including the price rise, inflation and present nuclear deal, the Congress is for every reason inching towards a new political permutation and combination with its all time enemy, the Samajwadi Party. The new tie-up is all evident from the fact that one of the leading UPA allies the Left’s incessant threat to the government to move out from the Indo-US nuclear deal or get ready to face a backlash with an early general poll.

Though the new political alliance virtually seem unrealistic at the ground because of the disagreeing social base of both the parties but the present BSP’s support back off from UPA, somehow push Congress to boost its sagging electoral showing. Moreover, SP, the leading opposition in the state too need to shake hand with Congress to take on the state’s ruling Bahujan Samajwadi Party (BSP).

With no such ideological difference, there is every reason of a new political tie-up. The recent Left-Congress political clash over the Indo-US nuclear deal has further cropped up the urgency as SP has 39 MPs in the Lok Sabha which is crucial to somehow run a minority government that is the need of the hour of UPA minus Left.

According to political analysts, both Congress and SP are both eyeing for short-term gain and no such long-term association is evident; because of their majority electoral base and the clash of interest of different social groups. However, present political action like Mayawati’s policy of appeasement towards the upper caste or Congress’s stand for OBCs can alter the scenario.

There is still some uncertainty prevailing over the alliance as one of the leading members of the United National Progressive Alliance (UNPA), the SP supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav may not go against the Left’s stand over N-deal. But as Uttar Pradesh is the largest populated state with most number of MPs, both parties are most likely to join hands considering the last assembly elections where the vote share of both the parties was lower than BSP.

On the other hand, SP’s lean towards Congress may affect its Muslim support base in terms of the Indo-US nuclear deal as it would be difficult for the party to persuade the Muslims an anti-Islamic America led pact. This logic though doesn’t hold much importance in a national interest.

Again the fear of tie-up between BSP and BJP which is in all probability, though Mayawati has publicly declined, can bring Congress and SP nearer to each other. Hence there are still questions waiting to be answered by SP only in the coming days but not before the UNPA meeting scheduled on July 03.

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