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SOMA Terror Organization Portal to forecast terror activities

New Delhi, Wed, 05 Mar 2008 NI Wire

When the whole world is infested with terrorism and its manifestation in different forms, the think tanks in different part of the world ponder to find a solution. Now scientists have developed software to analyse behaviour pattern of different terrorist organisations and predict their future activities by using a logical-statistical reasoning framework.

The wonder software developed by the scientists at the University of Maryland’s Institute for Advanced Computer Studies helps analyst to forecast steps to be taken by terrorist based on the behaviour pattern of major terrorist organisation including Hamas, Hezbollah and Hezb-i-Islami.

The portal is based on Stochastic Opponent Modeling Agents (SOMA) in which an extensive behaviour pattern of various terrorist organisations is prepared with the help of computer experts and political scientists. The study depicts a similar pattern of behaviour or actions in different situation particular to the terrorist outfit.

Indian origin Professor V S Subrahmanian, lead scientist of the research of UMAICS said, “SOMA is a significant joint computer science and social science achievement that will facilitate learning about and forecasting terrorist group behaviours based on rigorous mathematical and computational models.”

“But even the best science needs to work hand in hand with social scientists and users. In addition to accurate behavioural models and forecasting algorithms, the SOMA Terror Organization Portal acts as a virtual roundtable that terrorism experts can gather around and form a rich community that transcends artificial boundaries,” he added.

SOMA uses data of the past behaviours to predict the likelihood of an organisation to act in certain situation. So, it’s a combination of computer science and social science based on some complex mathematical models and behavioural pattern to come to a conclusion of predicting terrorist activity.

This portal will help analyst to use the data and test their theories, and the way it allows sharing the views of other experts can generate ideas to prepare methods to combat future terrorist activities.

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